ROI analysis of apartment in VILLA PERA: DLD data and real deals


1. Definition of the area and data structure

Actual location: according to Dubai Land Department (DLD), the VILLA PERA building is classified as being in Al Barsha South Fourth and is part of the Jumeirah Village Circle master project. This information is based on actual sale and purchase transactions and has been comprehensively verified via SQL queries.

Transaction volume and frequency for VILLA PERA: 75 sales have been recorded in the building from 2020 through 2025 inclusive, with a consistently stable volume: over the last 4 years VILLA PERA has seen 20+ transactions annually (for example, 22 in 2024 and 21 in 2023). This is a solid liquidity indicator for a JVC asset.

Overall in Jumeirah Village Circle, within Al Barsha South Fourth, thousands of transactions per quarter are recorded over comparable periods, so the building is located in a highly competitive and actively traded market.

ROI analysis of apartment in VILLA PERA: DLD data and real deals Continental Club Property LLC


2. Price dynamics per m² and transaction volume

VILLA PERA, 2-bedroom apartments (2BR):

– 2020: prices with weak liquidity (isolated transactions) — on average 3,700–5,900 AED/m².
– 2021–2022: gradual growth to 4,800–5,300 AED/m².
– 2023: acceleration in price dynamics, range — 4,700–6,700 AED/m².
– 2024 (ongoing year): a significant jump to 6,600–8,300+ AED/m² (based on recent quarters).
– Transaction volume for 2BR units is consistently 2–4 deals per quarter.

Average price for 2BR units over the last 12 months: 8,069 AED/m² (based on 4 transactions).

Jumeirah Village Circle, area (Al Barsha South Fourth), all apartment types:

– Quarterly values for 2020–2025 show stable and strong growth: from ~9,000–10,000 AED/m² in 2020–2021 to 15,200+ AED/m² over the last 12 months.
– Average price level in the area over 12 months — 15,287 AED/m² (on ~19,500 transactions).

Note: even allowing for a premium on the most recent deals, 2BR units in VILLA PERA are trading at roughly half the average market level for the JVC area. This is an exceptional value-for-money segment.

ROI analysis of apartment in VILLA PERA: DLD data and real deals Continental Club Property LLC


3. Rental rates and rental dynamics

For rentals of specifically 2BR units in VILLA PERA over the last 12 months, no valid contracts were found (using the “2 bed rooms” filter). However, at the building-wide level the statistics are:

– Over the last 12 months, 26 residential lease contracts (various apartment types) have been recorded in VILLA PERA.
– Average annual rent per square metre — 774 AED/m² (based on 26 contracts).
– Building-wide dynamics: 2020–2021 — rents consistently low (450–500 AED/m²), 2022–2023 — noticeable growth, 2024: 780–815+ AED/m² (in recent quarters).

For the JVC area (Al Barsha South Fourth):

– Very high rental transaction volume (tens of thousands of contracts per year).
– Average rent per m² over the last 12 months — 1,045 AED/m² (on ~25,000 contracts).
– Area dynamics: in 2020–2021 — 570–620 AED/m², in 2023 — 745–812 AED/m², in 2024 — 850–970 AED/m², in the current quarter — above 1,000 AED/m².

Conclusion: VILLA PERA (on a building-average basis) rents slightly below the JVC market benchmark, while the rental price gap is not as wide as the gap in sale prices.


4. ROI (Gross and Net), comparison with investment returns

For yield comparison, average values over the last 12 months are used:

VILLA PERA (building, all apartments):

– Average purchase price: 8,069 AED/m².
– Average annual rent: 774 AED/m².
– Gross ROI: 774 / 8,069 ≈ 9.6% per annum.
– Net ROI taking into account entry costs (7–8%): 9.6% / 1.07–1.08 ≈ 8.9–9.0% per annum.

Jumeirah Village Circle area (Al Barsha South Fourth):

– Average purchase price: 15,287 AED/m².
– Average rent: 1,045 AED/m².
– Gross ROI: 1,045 / 15,287 ≈ 6.8% per annum.
– Net ROI after costs: ~6.3–6.4% per annum.

“Fair price range” for a target yield of 7–8% per annum:

– For VILLA PERA: with an average rent of 774 AED/m², the price for an 8% ROI = 9,675 AED/m²; for a 7% ROI = 11,057 AED/m². Actual transaction prices are currently SIGNIFICANTLY below these levels — the building is in a deep “discount” segment, so investor yields are substantially above the standard 7–8%.
– For the area — the “equilibrium” price for 7–8% = 13,063–14,929 AED/m². Current JVC market levels are already almost in this band (gap less than 10%).


5. Liquidity and market outlook

– VILLA PERA is consistently traded — averaging 20+ sales per year, with solid rental demand (26 contracts per year according to DLD alone).
– Overall demand in Jumeirah Village Circle remains extremely strong; the area is one of the most liquid in terms of the number of transactions for both sales and rentals.
– There has been substantial growth in both purchase prices and rents over the last 2–3 years. The building is priced well below the area average, but given the growth pace and evolving infrastructure, this gap may gradually narrow.


6. Investor conclusions

VILLA PERA is an opportunity to acquire an apartment in JVC with very high yields (approximately 8.9–9% net, assuming current rents and sale prices are maintained), which is significantly above the JVC area average (~6.3–6.4% net). Current transactions in the building are closing at a pronounced discount to the wider market, leaving room for upside — either for long-term holding with high income or for subsequent speculative resale as the building’s pricing “converges” with the area.

Key risks include the imbalance between purchase price and rent, leasing/occupancy risks, and potential volatility in demand for certain older JVC buildings. However, demand confirmed by actual transactions and a stable flow of rental contracts indicate strong market appeal of the asset.

The property is clearly liquid for both rent and resale, with an investment-attractive “entry price / yield” ratio. Over a 3–5 year horizon, there is potential for both substantial income from long-term leasing and capital appreciation driven by the sustained growth of the JVC segment.

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