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1. Area definition and data structure
Actual location: According to DLD, the SAMANA GREENS building is located in Al Barshaa South Third and belongs to the Arjan master project.
Data volume: The DLD database contains 199 transactions for apartments in SAMANA GREENS. The sample of transactions for 1-bedroom apartments (1BR) includes both primary and secondary sales, with deals recorded in almost every quarter at least since 2020. There are no rental contracts in the database specifically for this building, but for the Arjan master project and the Al Barshaa South Third area the rental dataset is very large — tens of thousands of contracts with quarterly breakdown.
2. Transaction frequency and liquidity
Trading activity for 1-bedroom apartments in SAMANA GREENS has remained stable over the past 3 years. Each quarter recorded from 1 to 6 transactions (for example: 6 deals in Q2 2024, 3 in Q1 2024, 5 in Q4 2025). This indicates sufficient liquidity at the building level: new deals appear regularly, which is important for an investor when assessing the exit options.
3. Dynamics of the average price per m²
Building (SAMANA GREENS, 1BR):
– Over the last 2 years (2023–2025), the price per m² has increased from 6,700–8,100 to 9,700–10,000 AED, a substantial growth rate of approximately +30–40% over 2 years.
– The average price per m² over the last 12 months for 1BR is 9,784 AED/m² (according to DLD, 9 transactions, stable level).
– By quarter: early 2023 — 6,772 AED/m², mid‑2024 — 8,500–9,500 AED/m², Q4 2025 — 9,764 AED/m².
Area (Al Barshaa South Third, all apartments):
– The current average price in the area is noticeably higher than in SAMANA GREENS: over the last 12 months the average level is 14,556 AED/m² (based on 4,608 transactions).
– The area is characterized by a higher average price per m²; in recent quarters prices in the area have increased from 10,600 AED/m² (early 2023) to 13,500–15,500 AED/m² (end of 2025).
Comparison: SAMANA GREENS (1BR) is currently cheaper than the area average by ~33%, which can be explained by the building’s positioning and possibly the level of finishes, age, and its location within Arjan.
4. Rental dynamics and levels
There are no recorded residential rental contracts for 1BR apartments in SAMANA GREENS in the DLD. Therefore, it is not possible to calculate rental rates and yields specifically for this building. However, for the Arjan master project and the Al Barshaa South Third area, more than 10,000 rental contracts have been registered over the last 12 months, which allows for highly reliable assessment of area-level indicators:
– The average annual rental rate in Al Barshaa South Third over the last 12 months is 943 AED/m²/year (based on more than 12,000 contracts).
– For the Arjan master project, the rental level is 974 AED/m²/year over the same 12 months (based on more than 10,000 contracts).
– Rental dynamics: from 2021 to 2025 the average rent in the area increased from 600 AED/m²/year to 990–1,115 AED/m²/year (+50–80% over 4 years).
5. ROI and “fair purchase price” for a target yield
Calculations at the building level are not possible due to the absence of rental data for SAMANA GREENS in DLD. At the area/master-project level an assessment is possible:
– Gross yield (ROI_brutto) for a typical investor at current market prices:
— By area: 943 / 14,556 = 0.065 or 6.5% gross yield.
— By master project: 974 / 14,556 = 0.067 (assuming the same price benchmark).
– Adjustment for initial costs (7–8%): ROI_net ≈ 6.5% / 1.07 ≈ 6.1%.
– Fair price: For an investor targeting a 7–8% ROI, the fair price range in the area is: 943/0.08 = 11,800 AED/m² at the lower bound (~8% yield), 943/0.07 = 13,471 AED/m² at the upper bound (~7% yield).
– Current transactions in SAMANA GREENS (9,784 AED/m²) are significantly below this “fair” range, which in theory suggests either upside potential in prices for the building or a yield premium for the buyer. However, this is based on area-level rents; the actual yield of a specific apartment depends on real leasing performance and operational management.
6. Property and area outlook
– Liquidity in SAMANA GREENS and across the area is high: numerous transactions, and rentals represent one of the most developed markets in Dubai.
– The area and master project have shown steady growth in both prices and rental rates over the past 3–4 years.
– The current average transaction price in SAMANA GREENS offers a yield premium for investors: ROI today is higher than the typical market range (7–8%). The reason is a pricing discount versus the area, possibly due to the building’s positioning or other factors (year of completion, reputation, service quality).
– If investment expectations are around 7–8% net annual yield, the market price of SAMANA GREENS looks relatively attractive.
– Fair range for 1BR (investor benchmark): with rents of ~943–974 AED/m²/year, one should pay no more than 12–13.5k AED/m², while actual transactions are occurring even below this level.
Conclusion: For buyers/investors, SAMANA GREENS (1BR) remains an attractive option for a long-term hold due to its discount to the market and high liquidity. However, the absence of rental contracts for this specific building in DLD requires additional verification of the real leasing potential and property management. The Arjan area is developing, rental rates are rising, which is a positive factor for capital values over a 3–5 year horizon.
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