1. Definition of the area and data structure
Actual location: According to DLD, the building CLAYTON RESIDENCY is located in Business Bay and is also part of the Business Bay master project. All further comparisons are made relative to this area.
Data volume: The DLD database records 106 sale transactions for CLAYTON RESIDENCY over the past several years. Breakdown by apartment types: transactions for studio apartments and the “0 bedroom” category are not registered separately, so the entire analysis is carried out at the building level, without a separate breakdown for studios.
2. Liquidity and transaction dynamics
Sales dynamics: The building consistently enjoys demand. Over the past four years, there have been 23–30 transactions annually, which indicates good liquidity at the building level. The peak was recorded in 2023 with 30 transactions; for incomplete 2024 there have already been 23 transactions. This points to a steady resale market and ongoing buyer interest.
3. Price dynamics per square metre (CLAYTON RESIDENCY vs Business Bay)
For the building (quarterly dynamics, recent quarters):
– Average price per m² in 2023: from 10,339 to 12,425 AED/m² by quarter; at the beginning of 2024: 10,724–13,350 AED/m²; by Q4 2025 the forecast is 13,114 AED/m².
– Average value over the last 12 months: 13,819.86 AED/m².
For Business Bay (quarterly dynamics):
– In 2023, quarterly prices per m² ranged from 20,211 to 24,420 AED/m²; in 2024 — within 23,629–24,964 AED/m².
– Area-wide average over the last 12 months: 27,283.22 AED/m².
Comparison: CLAYTON RESIDENCY is noticeably cheaper than the area average — roughly by a factor of 2. This is typical for part of the older and mid-range stock in Business Bay, where the price range is wider than in the new towers.
4. Rental market analysis
For the building (CLAYTON RESIDENCY):
– Over the last 12 months, more than 500 rental contracts have been registered in DLD, confirming high liquidity in the rental market.
– The average annual rental rate per m² for the building is about 1,048.64 AED/m².
For Business Bay:
– The average annual rental rate for the entire area over the same period is 1,327.98 AED/m².
Comparison: CLAYTON RESIDENCY rents out cheaper than the area average, by roughly 20%.
5. ROI and fair price calculation
Current yield (brutto ROI):
– For CLAYTON RESIDENCY: ROI_brutto = 1,048.64 / 13,819.86 ≈ 7.6% per annum.
– For Business Bay: ROI_brutto = 1,327.98 / 27,283.22 ≈ 4.9% per annum.
After accounting for transactional and entry costs (7–8% of the purchase price), the actual (net) yield will decrease to about 7.0–7.1% for the building and 4.6–4.7% for the area (reduction factor 1.07–1.08).
Fair price range for an investor (if the target net yield is 7–8%):
– For the building: fair price range — from 13,100 to 14,980 AED/m². The current market price based on transactions (13,819.86 AED/m²) falls within this corridor. This means that in the current market a buyer can achieve a yield around or slightly above the desired 7% per annum when purchasing an apartment in CLAYTON RESIDENCY at the average price of the last 12 months.
– For the area: the fair price for an investor (with a similar target yield) is 16,600–18,970 AED/m² versus the current average of 27,283.22 AED/m². This implies that, on average across the area, it is practically impossible to buy with a target yield of 7–8% — Business Bay property is priced above its rental capacity, and in this respect CLAYTON RESIDENCY looks more attractive than the market.
6. Investor takeaways and outlook
CLAYTON RESIDENCY is a liquid asset with stable demand both for purchase and for rent. Although prices in the building are significantly below the Business Bay average, this is offset by a higher yield for the investor. The building is well suited for a buy-to-let strategy: in terms of yield it is closer to the historical 7–8% level, which is traditionally considered the minimum justified benchmark for Dubai property investments.
Over the past 2 years, prices in Business Bay have been growing much faster than in CLAYTON RESIDENCY due to a large influx of new projects, but the yield gap works in favour of the investor in this building. Over the next 3–5 years, demand for the asset is likely to remain solid given its yield profile and more affordable entry ticket.
7. Data sources and methodology
Averages and dynamics for the building and the area are calculated from direct DLD aggregates for the last 3–5 years. Rental and ROI calculations are based ONLY on actual contracts and transactions in the database. No estimates were made without relying on real DLD data.
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